Sport Picks
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
43'
43'
Wolde B.
85'
85'
Kemal H.
AI Match Summary
Negele Arsi Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Negele Arsi Ketema FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Negele Arsi Ketema FC lately — more wins on the board than Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Negele Arsi Ketema FC taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Wolde B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kemal H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 50 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Ethiopia Nigd Bank
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Negele Arsi Ketema FC found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Home) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Away) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 May
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
