Sport Picks
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Fasil Kenema
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Negele Arsi Ketema FC have won more games recently than Fasil Kenema.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Negele Arsi Ketema FC taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | Fasil Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Fasil Kenema
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 46 / 100
Fasil Kenema 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Fasil Kenema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Negele Arsi Ketema FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fasil Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Fasil Kenema
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Home) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 7
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 3
Fasil Kenema
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
10 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
3 : 1 Fasil Kenema
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
