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Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Sololo R.
82'
Gatikuti
82'
Gatikuti

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Negele Arsi Ketema FC and Mekelle 70 Enderta FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Negele Arsi Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
39%
Draws
31%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mekelle 70 Enderta FC haven't matched Negele Arsi Ketema FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negele Arsi Ketema FC Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Premier League
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3:0
Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sololo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negele Arsi Ketema FC 41 / 100
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negele Arsi Ketema FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Negele Arsi Ketema FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mekelle 70 Enderta FC conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635