Sport Picks
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Welayta Dicha
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
83'
83'
Dubale G.
90'
90'
Damtew C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Negele Arsi Ketema FC have won more games recently than Welayta Dicha.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 24%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | Welayta Dicha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 15 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 4, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0:0
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Welayta Dicha
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Dubale G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Welayta Dicha Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 37 / 100
Welayta Dicha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Welayta Dicha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Negele Arsi Ketema FC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Welayta Dicha conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Welayta Dicha
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Home) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 3
Welayta Dicha
(Away) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
19 May
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 0 Welayta Dicha
10 May
Arba Menche
2 : 3 Welayta Dicha
29 Apr
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welayta Dicha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)