Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Negeri Sembilan FA vs Melaka FC

Malaysia Malaysia

Super League Tuanku Abdul Rahman Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Negeri Sembilan FA play Melaka FC in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Negeri Sembilan FA averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Melaka FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Negeri Sembilan FA won 0, Melaka FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Negeri Sembilan FA and 1.44 for Melaka FC. This points to a Negeri Sembilan FA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Negeri Sembilan FA
33%
Draws
27%
Melaka FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Negeri Sembilan FA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Negeri Sembilan FA picked up more points recently compared to Melaka FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Negeri Sembilan FA Clean Sheet 16%
Melaka FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negeri Sembilan FA Melaka FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.48 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Negeri Sembilan FA vs Melaka FC
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Super League
Melaka FC vs Negeri Sembilan FA
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negeri Sembilan FA 39 / 100
Melaka FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negeri Sembilan FA Melaka FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Negeri Sembilan FA or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Negeri Sembilan FA attacking → ← attacking Melaka FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negeri Sembilan FA scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Melaka FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Negeri Sembilan FA went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Melaka FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 23
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Johor DT242310117:1070
2Kuching City FC24165345:1453
3Selangor24164459:2052
4Kuala Lumpur City24127540:2943
5Terengganu24106839:3436
6Imigresen24951038:4332
7Negeri Sembilan FA24611739:3529
8Penang24671126:4125
9Sabah24581129:4423
10DPMM24651330:5723
11Melaka FC24471318:4519
12Kelantan The Real Warriors24431717:6315
13PDRM FC24251717:7911