Sport Picks

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Negombo Youth vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions in this Champions League 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Negombo Youth
6%
Draws
90%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UP Country Lions have won more games recently than Negombo Youth.
  • Model gives UP Country Lions a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Negombo Youth have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negombo Youth UP Country Lions
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.75 2
Goals Conceded 4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2018 Super League
Negombo Youth vs UP Country Lions
1:2
Nov 18, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Negombo Youth
1:2
Aug 6, 2016 Super League
Negombo Youth vs UP Country Lions
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negombo Youth 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negombo Youth UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Defensive concern: UP Country Lions conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Negombo Youth has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Negombo Youth VS UP Country Lions
0.75 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Negombo Youth

(Home)
13 Feb
Negombo Youth
2 : 8
Solid
02 Feb
Negombo Youth
0 : 6
Matara City
30 Jan
Crystal Palace
2 : 1
Negombo Youth
27 Jan
Defenders FC
2 : 2
Negombo Youth
19 Jan
Negombo Youth
0 : 1
Blue Eagles
Page 1 of 6

UP Country Lions

(Away)
17 Jul
Blue Star
1 : 9
UP Country Lions
10 Jan
Red Star
0 : 3
UP Country Lions
07 Jan
Renown
1 : 0
UP Country Lions
29 Dec
UP Country Lions
2 : 3
Colombo
17 Dec
UP Country Lions
1 : 0
Blue Eagles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00
Promotion - AFC Cup 2019 (Qualification)