Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nehaj Senj vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nehaj Senj
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nehaj Senj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nehaj Senj haven't matched Jadran Porec's recent run of results.
  • Nehaj Senj are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nehaj Senj Clean Sheet 16%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nehaj Senj Jadran Porec
Matches Played 31 44
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 1.06 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Jadran Porec
1:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Nehaj Senj
1:0
May 29, 2021 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Jadran Porec
0:3
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL West
Jadran Porec vs Nehaj Senj
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nehaj Senj 48 / 100
Jadran Porec 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nehaj Senj Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nehaj Senj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jadran Porec conceded in 82% of 44 recent games.

Difficult form: Jadran Porec registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nehaj Senj scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Nehaj Senj VS Jadran Porec
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nehaj Senj

(Home)
26 Aug
Nehaj Senj
1 : 2
Vukovar 1991
28 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Croatia Dakovo
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Nehaj Senj
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
21 May
Rudar Labin
4 : 1
Nehaj Senj
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)