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Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Nejmeh SC Logo

Nejmeh SC

2 - 1
FT
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Kawam B.
Assist: Mansour N.
85' Event
Kassas A.
Assist: Khamis K.
90' Event
Sadek M.
Assist: Khamis K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Nejmeh SC and Al Ahed finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nejmeh SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nejmeh SC
35%
Draws
15%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nejmeh SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nejmeh SC come out ahead of Al Ahed on wins alone.
  • Nejmeh SC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nejmeh SC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nejmeh SC Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nejmeh SC Al Ahed
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
2:1
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC
0:4
Jul 3, 2025 Premier League
Nejmeh SC vs Al Ahed
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nejmeh SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawam B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nejmeh SC 68 / 100
Al Ahed 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nejmeh SC Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nejmeh SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nejmeh SC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Al Ahed let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Nejmeh SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nejmeh SC VS Al Ahed
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nejmeh SC

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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Al Ahed

(Away)
09 Oct
Tripoli SC
1 : 1
Al Ahed
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
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