Sport Picks
Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Chatham Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Nelson Suburbs FC at 1.6 goals for, 0.8 against; Auckland United at 2.63 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Nelson Suburbs FC have won 0 to Auckland United's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.68 - 1.71) back Nelson Suburbs FC to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nelson Suburbs FC haven't matched Auckland United's recent run of results.
- Nelson Suburbs FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Auckland United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nelson Suburbs FC | Auckland United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.80 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Auckland United conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Nelson Suburbs FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Nelson Suburbs FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.