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Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:40 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neom SC host Al Ettifaq FC in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Neom SC have averaged 1.47 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Al Ettifaq FC's 1.55 scored and 1.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Neom SC have won 0 to Al Ettifaq FC's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Neom SC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Neom SC
20%
Draws
29%
Al Ettifaq FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neom SC come out ahead of Al Ettifaq FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neom SC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Ettifaq FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Neom SC
0:0
Aug 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Neom SC vs Al Ettifaq FC
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 85 / 100
Al Ettifaq FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Ettifaq FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neom SC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Ettifaq FC conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Neom SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Ettifaq FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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Al Ettifaq FC

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
25 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
2 : 3
Al Nassr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
3 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
4 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
5 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
6 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
7 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
8 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)