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Neom SC vs Al Fateh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
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Match Events

6'
Al Absi K.
16' Event
Lacazette A.
(Penalty)
39'
Kone A.

AI Match Summary

Neom SC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neom SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Neom SC
30%
Draws
18%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neom SC lately — more wins on the board than Al Fateh.
  • Win probability leans Neom SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Fateh
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.41 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Fateh
4:2
May 2, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Neom SC
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Fateh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacazette A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Fateh Compare

Top Goalscorer Batna M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanga W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 85 / 100
Al Fateh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Fateh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Fateh let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Neom SC found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Neom SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Fateh
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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Al Fateh

(Away)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
3 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
4 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
5 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
6 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
7 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
8 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)