Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neom SC vs Al Riyadh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Al Khaibari A. I.
55' Event
Lacazette A.
Assist: Benrahma S.
59'
Sub
Al Shehri Y. In: Haroun S.
Out: Al Shehri Y.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Neom SC and Al Riyadh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neom SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Neom SC
33%
Draws
27%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Neom SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Neom SC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 16%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Riyadh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Riyadh
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Neom SC
2:3
May 3, 2012 Division 1
Al Riyadh vs Neom SC
2:0
Jan 20, 2012 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al Riyadh
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacazette A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Riyadh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 39 / 100
Al Riyadh 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Neom SC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Neom SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Riyadh
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
22 Jul
Granada CF
2 : 0
Neom SC
17 Jul
Peterborough
0 : 0
Neom SC
21 May
Neom SC
1 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
16 May
Al Hilal
2 : 0
Neom SC
11 May
Neom SC
2 : 1
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6

Al Riyadh

(Away)
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Al Okhdood
15 May
Al Taawon
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
10 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Al Fateh
04 May
Al Fayha
4 : 2
Al Riyadh
29 Apr
Al Riyadh
0 : 4
Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2026/2027 (Main)