Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neom SC vs Al Shabab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neom SC play Al Shabab in the Saudi Professional League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neom SC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Al Shabab averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Neom SC won 1, Al Shabab won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Neom SC and 1.44 for Al Shabab. This points to a Neom SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Neom SC
28%
Draws
34%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Neom SC picked up more points recently compared to Al Shabab.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 16%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Shabab
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Shabab
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Neom SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 37 / 100
Al Shabab 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Shabab

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Neom SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Neom SC attacking → ← attacking Al Shabab

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neom SC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Al Shabab let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Neom SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Shabab lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 35
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616