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Neom SC vs Al Shabab Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Al Shwirekh M.
19' Event
Benrahma S.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Benrahma S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Neom SC and Al Shabab finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neom SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Neom SC
30%
Draws
18%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neom SC come out ahead of Al Shabab on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Neom SC taking it.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Shabab
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Shabab
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Neom SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 85 / 100
Al Shabab 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Neom SC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al Shabab let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Neom SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Shabab
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6

Al Shabab

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)