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Neots vs Hemel Hempstead

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neots in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neots.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Neots
35%
Draws
20%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Neots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hemel Hempstead have won more games recently than Neots.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Neots taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Neots have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Neots Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neots Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Neots vs Hemel Hempstead
2:1
Nov 9, 2013 Southern Premier League
Neots vs Hemel Hempstead
4:1
Sep 7, 2013 Southern Premier League
Hemel Hempstead vs Neots
2:0
Feb 26, 2013 Southern Premier League
Neots vs Hemel Hempstead
6:1
Sep 18, 2012 Southern Premier League
Hemel Hempstead vs Neots
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neots 40 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neots Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neots Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Neots's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hemel Hempstead let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Neots remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hemel Hempstead
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Neots

(Home)
06 Sept
Sporting Club Inkberrow FC
1 : 0
Neots
19 Jul
Neots
1 : 0
Stamford
15 Jul
Neots
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
08 Jul
Neots
4 : 2
AFC Dunstable
03 Sept
Barking
3 : 2
Neots
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Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
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