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Nepal U20 vs Northern Mariana Islands U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20
Nepal U20 Logo

Nepal U20

Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Northern Mariana Islands U20 Logo

Northern Mariana Islands U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Nepal U20 are expected to control this from the start. Nepal U20 have averaged 1.15 scored and 2.35 conceded recently, against Northern Mariana Islands U20's 0.17 scored and 7.58 conceded. Past meetings favor Nepal U20 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 1.88, favoring Nepal U20. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nepal U20
15%
Draws
0%
Northern Mariana Islands U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nepal U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nepal U20 taking it.
  • Nepal U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Mariana Islands U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U20 Northern Mariana Islands U20
Matches Played 20 12
Wins 8 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.15 0.17
Goals Conceded 2.35 7.58
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U20
Nepal U20 vs Northern Mariana Islands U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U20 83 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U20 Northern Mariana Islands U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Mariana Islands U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

Northern Mariana Islands U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nepal U20 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

Recent resilience: Nepal U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U20 VS Northern Mariana Islands U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 6.71
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U20

(Home)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

Northern Mariana Islands U20

(Away)
03 Sept
Guam U20
3 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
31 Aug
Northern Mariana Islands U20
0 : 7
Mongolia U20
27 Sept
Lebanon U20
8 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
25 Sept
South Korea U20
10 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U20
23 Sept
Northern Mariana Islands U20
0 : 13
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Lebanon U20 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U20 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Philippines U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Syria U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Bangladesh U20 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Palestine U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Vietnam U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bahrain U20 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Oman U20 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Cambodia U20 3 1 0 2 2:14 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Malaysia U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Australia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Laos U20 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mongolia U20 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Guam U20 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Northern Mariana Islands U20 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
4 Nepal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Singapore U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bhutan U20 3 1 0 2 9:5 3
4 Macau U20 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Maldives U20 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 (Main)