Sport Picks
Nepal vs Bangladesh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
World
Friendly International 2025 Dasharath Rangasala, Kathmandu 
AI Match Summary
Nepal host Bangladesh in the Friendly International 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Nepal at 0.61 goals for, 1.75 against; Bangladesh at 0.75 for, 1.96 against. Past meetings favor Nepal slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 13, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.06, favoring Bangladesh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nepal haven't matched Bangladesh's recent run of results.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Nepal taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nepal | Bangladesh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.61 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bangladesh let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Bangladesh registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Nepal scored in 43% of their last 28 games.
