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Stadium Background

Nepal vs Laos

Asia Asia

Asian Cup New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
Nepal Logo

Nepal

0 - 1
FT
Laos Logo

Laos

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sidavong V.
46'
Sub
Keohanam S. In: Leuanthala S.
Out: Keohanam S.
46'
Sub
Gurung D. In: Lama P.
Out: Gurung D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Nepal
15%
Draws
64%
Laos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Laos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Nepal have won more games recently than Laos.
  • Nepal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nepal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Laos, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nepal Clean Sheet 68%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal Laos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.7 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Laos
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Laos vs Nepal
2:1
Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Laos vs Nepal
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Nepal vs Laos
1:1
Mar 31, 2023 Friendly International
Nepal vs Laos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounkong B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal 95 / 100
Laos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal Laos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Laos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Nepal's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal VS Laos
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal

(Home)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
Page 1 of 6

Laos

(Away)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)