Sport Picks

Nepal vs United Arab Emirates Prediction & H2H Stats

World

World Championship 2026 Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam

Nepal

0 - 4

United Arab Emirates

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Suhail H.

Assist: Idrees A.

14'

Suhail H.

Assist: Saleh A.

22'

Sub

Jimba B. In: Shrestha S.

Out: Jimba B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Nepal and United Arab Emirates finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United Arab Emirates.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Nepal

15%

Draws

78%

United Arab Emirates

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: United Arab Emirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence

United Arab Emirates carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans United Arab Emirates's way, sitting at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Nepal Clean Sheet 19%

United Arab Emirates Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nepal	United Arab Emirates
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	7	15
Draws	7	7
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	0.74	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.68	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.89	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 World Championship

Nepal vs United Arab Emirates

0:4

Nov 16, 2023 World Championship

United Arab Emirates vs Nepal

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.45

United Arab Emirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Suhail H.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Saleh A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal 10 / 100

United Arab Emirates 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nepal United Arab Emirates

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:4

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

United Arab Emirates has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Nepal scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Nepal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nepal VS United Arab Emirates

0.4 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

20% Over 1.5 100%

20% Over 2.5 75%

20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal

(Home)

31 Mar

Nepal

0 : 1

Laos

18 Nov

Nepal

0 : 1

Malaysia

13 Nov

Bangladesh

2 : 2

Nepal

14 Oct

Nepal

0 : 1

Vietnam

09 Oct

Vietnam

3 : 1

Nepal

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United Arab Emirates

(Away)

27 Sept

Bahrain

0 : 3

United Arab Emirates

24 Sept

United Arab Emirates

4 : 0

Yemen

15 Dec

Morocco

3 : 0

United Arab Emirates

12 Dec

Algeria

1 : 2

United Arab Emirates

09 Dec

United Arab Emirates

3 : 1

Kuwait

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