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Nepal W vs Lebanon W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Bhandari S.
46'
Sub
Salha S. In: Arabi Z.
Out: Salha S.
62'

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Nepal W and Lebanon W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nepal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nepal W
15%
Draws
42%
Lebanon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lebanon W come out ahead of Nepal W on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Nepal W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nepal W Clean Sheet 19%
Lebanon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal W Lebanon W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.45 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.71 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2025 Friendly International Women
Nepal W vs Lebanon W
1:0
Feb 27, 2024 WAFF Championship Women
Nepal W vs Lebanon W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhandari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.35

Lebanon W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal W 85 / 100
Lebanon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal W Lebanon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Lebanon W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Lebanon W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nepal W VS Lebanon W
3.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal W

(Home)
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
31 May
Nepal W
2 : 0
Sri Lanka W
25 May
Bhutan W
0 : 1
Nepal W
02 Dec
Nepal W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
26 Nov
Indonesia W
2 : 1
Nepal W
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Lebanon W

(Away)
28 Nov
Jordan W
5 : 0
Lebanon W
26 Nov
Lebanon W
0 : 3
Palestine W
19 Jul
Singapore W
0 : 1
Lebanon W
16 Jul
Lebanon W
3 : 1
Iran W
10 Jul
Bhutan W
2 : 1
Lebanon W
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