Sport Picks
Neptunas vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
5'
5'
Borja P.
10'
10'
Dubickas A.
74'
74'
Cepkauskas L.
AI Match Summary
FK Babrungas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Babrungas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Neptunas haven't matched FK Babrungas's recent run of results.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 16%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neptunas | FK Babrungas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 22 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Babrungas
0:4
Apr 4, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Neptunas
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Babrungas
0:0
Apr 25, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Neptunas
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Neptunas
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neptunas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
FK Babrungas Compare
Top Goalscorer Borja P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dubickas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neptunas 36 / 100
FK Babrungas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neptunas FK Babrungas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neptunas scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Defensive concern: FK Babrungas conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Neptunas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Neptunas VS FK Babrungas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Neptunas
(Home) 10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
25 Jul
Neptunas
2 : 1 Siauliai 2
Page 1 of 3
FK Babrungas
(Away) 10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0 Jonava
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2 FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
08 Aug
Dainava Alytus
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 46:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37:27 | 41 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26:46 | 23 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 30:59 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
