Sport Picks
Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
3'
3'
Akusobi D.
Own Goal
19'
19'
Aliukonis J.
Own Goal
67'
67'
Venckus M.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Neptunas and FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neptunas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Neptunas carry the better recent record into this one.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Neptunas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 15%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neptunas | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 12 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 18, 2026 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3:1
Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas
1:3
Aug 18, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas
2:2
Mar 22, 2024 I Lyga
Neptunas vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neptunas Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Venckus M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neptunas 30 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neptunas FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neptunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Neptunas scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Neptunas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Neptunas VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Neptunas
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1 Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0 Jonava
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
25 Jul
Neptunas
2 : 1 Siauliai 2
18 Jun
Neptunas
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
(Away) 02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2 Garliava
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Ekranas
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
04 Sept
BE1 NFA
1 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
24 Jun
FK Babrungas
0 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23:43 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
