Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neptunas play Garliava in the I Lyga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neptunas averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Garliava averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Neptunas won 3, Garliava won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 17, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Neptunas and 1.38 for Garliava. This points to a Neptunas double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neptunas picked up more points recently compared to Garliava.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neptunas | Garliava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Neptunas Compare
Garliava Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neptunas scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Garliava let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Neptunas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Garliava lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 39:9 | 40 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 26:4 | 39 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 32 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Tauras Taurage | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Dainava Alytus | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:15 | 27 |
| 7 | Garliava | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 8 | BFA Vilnius | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Zalgiris 2 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Jonava | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Transinvest 2 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:36 | 14 |
| 13 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 16:32 | 13 |
| 14 | Ekranas | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15:29 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13:35 | 7 |