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Neptunas vs Riteriai 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2023
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Match Events

6' Event
Okende P.
27' Event
Mehasseb H.
67' Event
Sveistrys A.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2023 game between Neptunas and Riteriai 2 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Riteriai 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Neptunas
15%
Draws
42%
Riteriai 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neptunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neptunas come out ahead of Riteriai 2 on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Neptunas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 20%
Riteriai 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neptunas Riteriai 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2023 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Riteriai 2
1:2
Mar 17, 2023 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs Neptunas
3:2
Oct 28, 2022 I Lyga
Riteriai 2 vs Neptunas
2:7
Jun 24, 2022 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Riteriai 2
2:1
Sep 11, 2021 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Riteriai 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neptunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehasseb H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Riteriai 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Okende P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sveistrys A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neptunas 40 / 100
Riteriai 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neptunas Riteriai 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neptunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Neptunas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Riteriai 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Riteriai 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neptunas VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neptunas

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

Riteriai 2

(Away)
08 Nov
BE1 NFA
3 : 1
Riteriai 2
03 Nov
Riteriai 2
3 : 0
Marijampole City
31 Oct
Riteriai 2
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
27 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 3
Riteriai 2
22 Oct
Riteriai 2
1 : 3
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Transinvest 30 22 4 4 83:29 70
2 BE1 NFA 30 17 5 8 51:30 56
3 Nevezis Kedainiai 30 14 9 7 47:32 51
4 Neptunas 30 14 9 7 57:33 51
5 FK Babrungas 30 15 6 9 60:49 51
6 FK Minija 30 15 6 9 45:37 51
7 Riteriai 2 30 13 7 10 49:33 46
8 Garliava 30 9 13 8 43:37 40
9 Ekranas 30 11 6 13 42:49 39
10 BFA Vilnius 30 10 8 12 40:41 38
11 Marijampole City 30 11 2 17 27:64 35
12 Siauliai 2 30 9 6 15 47:66 33
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 30 8 8 14 40:49 32
14 FK Panevezys 2 30 8 7 15 45:59 31
15 Zalgiris 2 30 7 7 16 46:66 28
16 Jonava 30 4 3 23 28:76 15
Promotion - A Lyga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2023 (Relegation)