Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neptunas vs Transinvest 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Urbys S.
89' Event
Stonys V.
90' Event
Petkus N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neptunas in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neptunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Neptunas
15%
Draws
28%
Transinvest 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neptunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Neptunas have won more games recently than Transinvest 2.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 17%
Transinvest 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neptunas Transinvest 2
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 I Lyga
Transinvest 2 vs Neptunas
2:2
Jun 10, 2026 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Transinvest 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neptunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbys S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stonys V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Transinvest 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neptunas 36 / 100
Transinvest 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neptunas Transinvest 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Transinvest 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Transinvest 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Neptunas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Transinvest 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neptunas VS Transinvest 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neptunas

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

Transinvest 2

(Away)
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 24 18 4 2 42:11 58
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 43:25 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 24 13 4 7 38:31 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 7 1 17 30:56 22
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Garliava 24 6 4 14 27:30 22
14 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)