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Stadium Background

Ner Poddebice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VI game between Ner Poddebice and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ner Poddebice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ner Poddebice
11%
Draws
80%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki come out ahead of Ner Poddebice on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VI form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ner Poddebice Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ner Poddebice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 15
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Ner Poddebice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ner Poddebice
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ner Poddebice 12 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ner Poddebice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki let in goals in 80% of their last 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ner Poddebice scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Ner Poddebice remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021