Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neretva vs Grobnican

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Valjan K.
88' Event
Pilcic D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Grobnican advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Neretva
15%
Draws
37%
Grobnican
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Neretva's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Neretva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grobnican, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Neretva Clean Sheet 10%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretva Grobnican
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2022 Croatian Cup
Neretva vs Grobnican
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neretva Compare

Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Grobnican Compare

Top Goalscorer Valjan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pilcic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretva 83 / 100
Grobnican 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretva Grobnican

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobnican has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Neretva scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Neretva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neretva VS Grobnican
5 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretva

(Home)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 7

Grobnican

(Away)
26 Sept
Jarun
3 : 0
Grobnican
19 Sept
Grobnican
5 : 1
NK Koprivnica
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Grobnican
2 : 2
NK Inker Zapresic
29 Aug
Grobnican
1 : 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce 3
BSK Buk 0
Bijelo Brdo 5
Marsonia 1
Moslavina 3
Medjimurje 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vuteks Sloga 1
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Sibenik -
Radnik Krizevci 1
Dubrava Zagreb 3
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bjelovar 1
Gaj Mace 0
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Bistra 2
Vodice 1
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
RNK Split -
TBD -
TBD -
Cibalia -
Slavonac Bukovlje 0
Borinci 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
NK Nedelisce 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
TBD -
Zapresic -
Solin 6
Funtana 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sava Strmec 4
Bednja Beletinec 6
TBD -
Rudes -
Neretva 0
Grobnican 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Nehaj Senj 0
Primorac Biograd 4
TBD -
Varazdin -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Karlovac 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Virovitica 0
Mladost Zdralovi 6
TBD -
Oriolik -
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 4
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
1/16-finals
Belisce 1
Bijelo Brdo 5
Moslavina 1
Rijeka 2
Jadran Porec 1
Sibenik 2
Dubrava Zagreb 2
HNK Gorica 3
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Bistra 1
Lok. Zagreb 6
RNK Split 2
Cibalia 0
Borinci 0
Din. Zagreb 4
NK Nedelisce 3
Zapresic 0
Solin 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rudes 3
Grobnican 1
Istra 1961 2
Primorac Biograd 1
Varazdin 4
Papuk Orahovica 0
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 6
Oriolik 0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec 1
Hajduk Split 5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo 2
Rijeka 1
Sibenik 2
HNK Gorica 0
Bjelovar 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
RNK Split 1
Din. Zagreb 3
NK Nedelisce 0
Slaven Belupo 6
Rudes 2
Istra 1961 1
Varazdin 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo 0
Sibenik 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slaven Belupo 2
Rudes 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 2
Semi-finals
Sibenik 2
Din. Zagreb 1
Slaven Belupo 0
Hajduk Split 1
Final
Sibenik 0
Hajduk Split 2