Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neretva vs Primorac Biograd

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Neretva and Primorac Biograd finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neretva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Neretva
15%
Draws
26%
Primorac Biograd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Neretva a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Neretva Clean Sheet 18%
Primorac Biograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretva Primorac Biograd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretva vs Primorac Biograd
1:0
Sep 29, 2021 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Neretva
1:1
Apr 14, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs Primorac Biograd
2:1
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL South
Primorac Biograd vs Neretva
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretva 85 / 100
Primorac Biograd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretva Primorac Biograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Neretva scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Primorac Biograd conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Neretva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neretva VS Primorac Biograd
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretva

(Home)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 7

Primorac Biograd

(Away)
30 Aug
Primorac Biograd
0 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
19 Oct
Primorac Biograd
1 : 4
Varazdin
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)