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Neretvanac vs Hrvace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Neretvanac Logo

Neretvanac

1 - 2
FT
Hrvace Logo

Hrvace

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Neretvanac and Hrvace finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hrvace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Neretvanac
15%
Draws
0%
Hrvace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretvanac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hrvace come out ahead of Neretvanac on wins alone.
  • Neretvanac are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 20%
Hrvace Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac Hrvace
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Hrvace
1:2
Oct 27, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvace vs Neretvanac
3:1
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL South
Hrvace vs Neretvanac
0:2
Oct 4, 2020 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Hrvace
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 58 / 100
Hrvace 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac Hrvace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretvanac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Hrvace has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Neretvanac scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Hrvace let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hrvace
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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Hrvace

(Away)
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Opatija
1 : 0
Hrvace
29 Aug
Hrvace
1 : 4
Jadran Luka Ploce
23 Aug
Croatia Zmijavci
3 : 0
Hrvace
30 May
Hrvace
1 : 2
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)