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Stadium Background

Neretvanac vs Rijeka

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2024/2025 Stadion HNK Rijeka, Rijeka
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Andric K.
33' Event
Pasalic M.
60' Event
Radeljic S.

AI Match Summary

Rijeka in this Croatian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Neretvanac
30%
Draws
51%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretvanac haven't matched Rijeka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rijeka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Rijeka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rijeka, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 16%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac Rijeka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Croatian Cup
Neretvanac vs Rijeka
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neretvanac Compare

Top Goalscorer Medic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Rijeka Compare

Top Goalscorer Andric K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasalic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 10 / 100
Rijeka 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Neretvanac found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Rijeka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Neretvanac has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rijeka
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
Page 1 of 6

Rijeka

(Away)
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
31 Aug
HNK Gorica
0 : 0
Rijeka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 4
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Kustosija 3
NK Polet 0
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Nehaj Senj 0
Croatia Dakovo 4
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Gaj Mace 2
Karlovac 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Sloga Nova Gradiska 0
Bjelovar 1
TBD -
Jaska Vinogradar -
Banjole 2
Mladost Petrinja 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 1
Slavonija Pozega 2
TBD -
Oriolik -
Medjimurec 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
TBD -
Osijek -
Jadran Porec 1
Radnik Krizevci 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Bilogora 1
Zagora 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bednja Beletinec 2
Orijent 1
TBD -
Belisce -
Neretvanac 2
Bedem Ivankovo 0
TBD -
Rijeka -
Sava Strmec 0
Pitomaca 7
TBD -
Rudes -
Tomislav DA 5
Sloga Borovo 0
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Dugopolje 1
Jarun 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Samobor 10
Ferdinandovac 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Zrinski Osjecko 0
Sibenik 2
Kustosija 0
Slaven Belupo 1
Croatia Dakovo 1
HNK Gorica 2
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 2
Bjelovar 4
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Banjole 1
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 3
Oriolik 0
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 1
Osijek 3
Jadran Porec 0
Mladost Zdralovi 2
Bilogora 0
Hajduk Split 4
Bednja Beletinec 3
Belisce 0
Neretvanac 1
Rijeka 3
Pitomaca 1
Rudes 2
Tomislav DA 0
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Samobor 2
Lok. Zagreb 4
1/8-finals
Sibenik 1
Slaven Belupo 2
HNK Gorica 2
Varazdin 1
Bjelovar 2
Din. Zagreb 3
Slavonija Pozega 1
Osijek 2
Mladost Zdralovi 0
Hajduk Split 3
Bednja Beletinec 0
Rijeka 3
Rudes 1
Istra 1961 2
Dugopolje 0
Lok. Zagreb 1
Quarter-finals
Slaven Belupo 3
HNK Gorica 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Osijek 1
Hajduk Split 1
Rijeka 3
Istra 1961 3
Lok. Zagreb 0
Semi-finals
Slaven Belupo 1
Osijek 0
Rijeka 1
Istra 1961 0
Final
Slaven Belupo 1
Rijeka 2