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NEROCA vs Delhi FC

India India

I-League 2 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NEROCA play Delhi FC in the I-League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, NEROCA averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Delhi FC averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, NEROCA won 1, Delhi FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for NEROCA and 1.94 for Delhi FC. This points to a Delhi FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
NEROCA
27%
Draws
37%
Delhi FC
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Delhi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • NEROCA picked up more points recently compared to Delhi FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 10%
Delhi FC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA Delhi FC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 I-League 2
NEROCA vs Delhi FC
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 I-League
NEROCA vs Delhi FC
1:2
Nov 27, 2023 I-League
Delhi FC vs NEROCA
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Meetei P. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Delhi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhandari N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 34 / 100
Delhi FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA Delhi FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Delhi FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NEROCA attacking → ← attacking Delhi FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Delhi FC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

NEROCA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Delhi FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delhi FC852120:1017
2Bengaluru United843112:615
3United SC84317:515
4SC Bengaluru832313:1511
5SC Goa83148:1110
6Karbi Anglong824210:710
7Sudeva Delhi83146:710
8MYJ-GMSC81258:195
9NEROCA812511:155