Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NEROCA vs SC Goa

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium, Imphal
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Soubam D.
19'
Singh T.
37' Event
Soubam D.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 2024/2025 game between NEROCA and SC Goa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NEROCA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
NEROCA
20%
Draws
44%
SC Goa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC Goa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SC Goa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives NEROCA a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SC Goa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 18%
SC Goa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA SC Goa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SC Goa
0:1
Apr 11, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs SC Goa
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 I-League 2
SC Goa vs NEROCA
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Soubam D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Goa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauncar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 41 / 100
SC Goa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA SC Goa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NEROCA scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

SC Goa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: NEROCA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS SC Goa
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

SC Goa

(Away)
15 May
SC Goa
1 : 2
SC Bengaluru
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
02 May
SC Goa
2 : 1
MYJ-GMSC
20 Apr
Delhi FC
2 : 1
SC Goa
14 Apr
SC Goa
1 : 0
Sudeva Delhi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 16 11 5 0 28:10 38
2 Chanmari 16 10 3 3 36:10 33
3 SC Goa 16 7 5 4 18:12 26
4 Bengaluru United 16 6 5 5 21:11 23
5 SAT Tirur 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
6 United SC 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
7 NEROCA 16 5 2 9 17:27 17
8 TRAU FC 16 3 3 10 14:30 12
9 KLASA 16 2 1 13 8:38 7
Promotion - I-League (Main)