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Stadium Background

Nerostellati Pratola vs Agnonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nerostellati Pratola
20%
Draws
38%
Agnonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nerostellati Pratola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Nerostellati Pratola haven't matched Agnonese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nerostellati Pratola a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 20%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nerostellati Pratola Agnonese
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Nerostellati Pratola vs Agnonese
1:1
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Nerostellati Pratola
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nerostellati Pratola 42 / 100
Agnonese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nerostellati Pratola Agnonese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Agnonese conceded in 82% of 39 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Nerostellati Pratola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Agnonese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Agnonese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vis Pesaro34234761:2973
2Matelica34225766:2871
3Avezzano341614451:2662
4Pineto341512753:4157
5Aquila Calcio341510957:4055
6ASD Francavilla341411947:3853
7San Marino Calcio341561345:3551
8Vastese341561355:5051
9Sangiustese341391239:4148
10Campobasso3413101141:4045
11Castelfidardo341281443:5444
12Recanatese341271547:4743
13Agnonese341181534:3541
14Notaresco Calcio341171642:5140
15Jesina348101632:4634
16Monticelli345151425:4530
17Fabriano Cerreto34552429:6920
18Nerostellati Pratola34392219:7118