Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Nerostellati Pratola

0 - 2

Castelfidardo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Castelfidardo in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelfidardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Nerostellati Pratola

28%

Draws

22%

Castelfidardo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nerostellati Pratola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Castelfidardo have won more games recently than Nerostellati Pratola.
50% — that's where the model lands on Nerostellati Pratola taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 20%

Castelfidardo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nerostellati Pratola	Castelfidardo
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	3	7
Draws	9	5
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Nerostellati Pratola vs Castelfidardo

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Sep 3, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Castelfidardo vs Nerostellati Pratola

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nerostellati Pratola 49 / 100

Castelfidardo 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nerostellati Pratola Castelfidardo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelfidardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nerostellati Pratola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Castelfidardo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castelfidardo

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18