Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Nerostellati Pratola

0 - 3

Matelica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Nerostellati Pratola and Matelica finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matelica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Nerostellati Pratola

11%

Draws

80%

Matelica

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Matelica carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Matelica a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 18%

Matelica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nerostellati Pratola	Matelica
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	3	19
Draws	9	8
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	0	1.63
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Nerostellati Pratola vs Matelica

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Oct 15, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Matelica vs Nerostellati Pratola

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nerostellati Pratola 12 / 100

Matelica 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nerostellati Pratola Matelica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Matelica let in goals in 66% of their last 38 matches.

Nerostellati Pratola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nerostellati Pratola scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Matelica

0 Goals Scored 1.63

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18