Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nerostellati Pratola host Vastese in the Serie D - Group F 2017/2018. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Nerostellati Pratola at 0 goals for, 0 against; Vastese at 0.75 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Vastese slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2018, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.17 - 0.93) back Vastese to edge this. Vastese in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Nerostellati Pratola

39%

Draws

30%

Vastese

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Vastese has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nerostellati Pratola.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 20%

Vastese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nerostellati Pratola	Vastese
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	3	9
Draws	9	9
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Nerostellati Pratola vs Vastese

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Oct 29, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Vastese vs Nerostellati Pratola

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nerostellati Pratola 32 / 100

Vastese 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nerostellati Pratola Vastese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nerostellati Pratola scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Vastese let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nerostellati Pratola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vastese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vastese

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18