Sport Picks
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
Israel
Toto Cup Netanya Stadium, Netanya 
Match Events
10'
10'
Zaarura B.
23'
23'
Dappa I.
28'
28'
Morozov G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Netanya come out ahead of Hapoel Jerusalem on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Netanya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Netanya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Netanya Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Netanya | Hapoel Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Toto Cup
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:1
May 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:0
Jan 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Netanya
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Netanya
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Netanya Compare
Top Goalscorer Zaarura B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bilu O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Hapoel Jerusalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Dappa I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Netanya 41 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Netanya Hapoel Jerusalem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Netanya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Netanya found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Hapoel Jerusalem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Netanya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Netanya VS Hapoel Jerusalem
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Netanya
(Home) 14 Sept
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 0 Netanya
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1 Hapoel Haifa
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4 Netanya
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0 Sakhnin
16 Aug
Netanya
0 : 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1 Hapoel Haifa
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0 Sakhnin
16 Aug
Netanya
0 : 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
02 Aug
Netanya
2 : 3 Hapoel Ramat Gan
25 Jul
Netanya
3 : 1 Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 3
Hapoel Jerusalem
(Away) 15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2 Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
17 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
0 : 1 Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2 Hapoel Jerusalem
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
17 Aug
Maccabi Haifa
0 : 1 Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Aug
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 2 Hapoel Jerusalem
25 Jul
Netanya
3 : 1 Hapoel Jerusalem
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shmona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Hapoel Haifa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Maccabi Haifa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 5 | Sakhnin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netanya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 5 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
