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Netherlands U18 vs England U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2024 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Black L.
70' Event
Chiwome L.
84' Event
Vink S.

AI Match Summary

England U18 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored England U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Netherlands U18
20%
Draws
52%
England U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • England U18 have won more games recently than Netherlands U18.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on England U18 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors England U18 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Netherlands U18 Clean Sheet 10%
England U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U18 England U18
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.96 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs England U18
1:2
Sep 21, 2022 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs England U18
0:1
Nov 11, 2021 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs England U18
3:2
Sep 3, 2015 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs England U18
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vink S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

England U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Black L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chiwome L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U18 18 / 100
England U18 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U18 England U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands U18 scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

England U18 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Netherlands U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U18 VS England U18
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U18

(Home)
30 Sept
Netherlands U18
2 : 1
Norway U18
17 Nov
Sweden U18
2 : 2
Netherlands U18
13 Nov
Netherlands U18
2 : 1
Germany U18
13 Oct
Netherlands U18
1 : 2
Poland U18
11 Oct
Switzerland U18
3 : 3
Netherlands U18
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England U18

(Away)
30 Sept
South Korea U18
1 : 2
England U18
27 Sept
Egypt U18
1 : 2
England U18
24 Sept
England U18
3 : 2
Colombia U18
31 May
Cyprus U19
1 : 6
England U18
28 May
Greece U19
1 : 2
England U18
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