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Netherlands U18 vs Italy U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Verhulst G.
57'
Verde F.
60'
Sub
Thomas A. In: Kluivert S.
Out: Thomas A.

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U18 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Netherlands U18
20%
Draws
42%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Netherlands U18 lately — more wins on the board than Italy U18.
  • Model gives Netherlands U18 a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Netherlands U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U18 Italy U18
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs Italy U18
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs Italy U18
2:0
Sep 10, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Netherlands U18
0:0
Sep 6, 2021 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs Italy U18
5:0
Mar 22, 2019 Friendly International
Netherlands U18 vs Italy U18
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Verhulst G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van den Berg J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Italy U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U18 49 / 100
Italy U18 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U18 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U18 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (26 games).

Italy U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Netherlands U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U18 VS Italy U18
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U18

(Home)
30 Sept
Netherlands U18
2 : 1
Norway U18
17 Nov
Sweden U18
2 : 2
Netherlands U18
13 Nov
Netherlands U18
2 : 1
Germany U18
13 Oct
Netherlands U18
1 : 2
Poland U18
11 Oct
Switzerland U18
3 : 3
Netherlands U18
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Italy U18

(Away)
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
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