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World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero

North Korea U20 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U20 W play North Korea U20 W in the World Cup Women U20 2024. North Korea U20 W are favorites here. Recently, Netherlands U20 W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. North Korea U20 W averaged 3.86 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. In past meetings, Netherlands U20 W won 0, North Korea U20 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Netherlands U20 W and 3.19 for North Korea U20 W. This points to a North Korea U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Netherlands U20 W

15%

Draws

59%

North Korea U20 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Netherlands U20 W picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U20 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 3.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Netherlands U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Netherlands U20 W	North Korea U20 W
Matches Played	23	29
Wins	9	24
Draws	2	2
Losses	12	3
Goals Scored	1.57	3.86
Goals Conceded	1.48	0.59
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 World Cup Women U20

Netherlands U20 W vs North Korea U20 W

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

North Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Choe Il-Son

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kum Jong

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.98

Avg xA / game 2.43

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U20 W 25 / 100

North Korea U20 W 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Netherlands U20 W North Korea U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U20 W Win (2)

Secondary Pick North Korea U20 W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Netherlands U20 W attacking → ← attacking North Korea U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U20 W scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

North Korea U20 W let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Netherlands U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U20 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 74

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 4.38

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colombia U20 W	3	3	0	0	4:0	9
2	Mexico U20 W	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
3	Cameroon U20 W	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	Australia U20 W	3	0	0	3	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brazil U20 W	3	3	0	0	14:0	9
2	France U20 W	3	1	1	1	14:6	4
3	Canada U20 W	3	1	1	1	12:5	4
4	Fiji U20 W	3	0	0	3	0:29	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain U20 W	3	3	0	5:0	9
2	USA U20 W	3	2	1	9:1	6
3	Paraguay U20 W	3	1	2	2:9	3
4	Morocco U20 W	3	0	3	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany U20 W	3	2	0	1	8:4	6
2	Nigeria U20 W	3	2	0	1	6:3	6
3	South Korea U20 W	3	1	1	1	1:1	4
4	Venezuela U20 W	3	0	1	2	2:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U20 W	3	3	0	13:1	9
2	Austria U20 W	3	2	1	5:4	6
3	Ghana U20 W	3	1	2	5:7	3
4	New Zealand U20 W	3	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U20 W	3	3	0	0	17:2	9
2	Netherlands U20 W	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
3	Argentina U20 W	3	1	1	1	6:9	4
4	Costa Rica U20 W	3	0	0	3	0:12	0