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Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Netherlands U21 have averaged 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Denmark U21's 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Netherlands U21 have won 1 to Denmark U21's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Netherlands U21. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Netherlands U21
30%
Draws
37%
Denmark U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denmark U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Netherlands U21 lately — more wins on the board than Denmark U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Netherlands U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Denmark U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Denmark U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.2 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21
1:2
Nov 17, 2010 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:3
May 26, 2006 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 36 / 100
Denmark U21 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Denmark U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21 scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Denmark U21 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Netherlands U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Denmark U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Netherlands U21
4 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
02 Oct
Slovenia U21
2 : 4
Netherlands U21
25 Sept
Netherlands U21
0 : 0
Norway U21
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
Page 1 of 6

Denmark U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Denmark U21
0 : 0
Belgium U21
02 Oct
Austria U21
1 : 1
Denmark U21
28 Sept
Denmark U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Denmark U21 -
Netherlands U21 -
Iceland U21 -
Greece U21 -
Finland U21 -
Ireland U21 -
Turkey U21 -
Czech Republic U21 -