Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Futbal Tatran Aréna, Prešov
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Valente L.
Assist: van Bommel R.
37'
Maatsen I.
48'
Vivcharenko K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Netherlands U21 and Ukraine U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Netherlands U21
30%
Draws
29%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Netherlands U21 come out ahead of Ukraine U21 on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Netherlands U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2025 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0
Oct 16, 2018 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21
3:0
Oct 10, 2017 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:1
May 25, 2012 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:0
Oct 12, 2010 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Valente L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Bergen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ukraine U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 40 / 100
Ukraine U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands U21 scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Ukraine U21 conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Netherlands U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Ukraine U21
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Netherlands U21
0 : 0
Norway U21
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Ukraine U21
2 : 2
Turkey U21
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)