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Netherlands U23 W vs Sweden U23 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
van Koppen M.
Assist: van Gool R.
46'
Sub
Rehnberg S. In: Renmark J.
Out: Rehnberg S.
52' Event
van Beijeren J.

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Netherlands U23 W
30%
Draws
39%
Sweden U23 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Netherlands U23 W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Netherlands U23 W Clean Sheet 68%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U23 W Sweden U23 W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 21
Draws 9 3
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.06 2
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:0
Oct 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
1:1
Dec 4, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
2:4
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Netherlands U23 W
3:2
Sep 19, 2021 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U23 W vs Sweden U23 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Koppen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Beijeren J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sweden U23 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U23 W 41 / 100
Sweden U23 W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U23 W Sweden U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands U23 W scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sweden U23 W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Netherlands U23 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U23 W VS Sweden U23 W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U23 W

(Home)
17 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
2 : 1
Norway U23 W
13 Apr
England U23 W
1 : 0
Netherlands U23 W
10 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
1 : 1
USA U23 W
06 Mar
England U23 W
1 : 1
Netherlands U23 W
02 Mar
Scotland U23 W
0 : 4
Netherlands U23 W
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Sweden U23 W

(Away)
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
06 Mar
Romania U23 W
1 : 5
Sweden U23 W
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