Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Netherlands

4 - 0

Lithuania

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Reijnders T.

Assist: de Jong F.

23'

Sirvys P.

46'

Sub

Sirvys P. In: Beneta M.

Out: Sirvys P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Netherlands and Lithuania finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Netherlands

15%

Draws

32%

Lithuania

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Netherlands come out ahead of Lithuania on wins alone.
Model gives Netherlands a 53% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 68%

Lithuania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Netherlands	Lithuania
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	15	6
Draws	9	5
Losses	6	17
Goals Scored	2.37	0.82
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 World Championship

Netherlands vs Lithuania

4:0

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Lithuania vs Netherlands

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Reijnders T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Simons X.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.58

Avg xA / game 1.03

Lithuania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands 95 / 100

Lithuania 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Netherlands Lithuania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Lithuania's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Netherlands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands VS Lithuania

2.38 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

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Lithuania

(Away)

09 Jun

Estonia

1 : 0

Lithuania

06 Jun

Lithuania

2 : 1

Latvia

29 Mar

Lithuania

0 : 2

Georgia

26 Mar

Moldova

0 : 2

Lithuania

17 Nov

Netherlands

4 : 0

Lithuania

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