Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

Netherlands

5 - 1

Sweden

Our Tip

Match Events

Brobbey B.

Assist: Gakpo C.

17'

Brobbey B.

Assist: Dumfries D.

46'

Sub

Malen D. In: Summerville C.

Out: Malen D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Netherlands and Sweden finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Netherlands

30%

Draws

23%

Sweden

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Sweden haven't matched Netherlands's recent run of results.
Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 16%

Sweden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Netherlands	Sweden
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	9	5
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	2.37	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 World Championship

Netherlands vs Sweden

5:1

Oct 10, 2017 World Championship

Netherlands vs Sweden

2:0

Sep 6, 2016 World Championship

Sweden vs Netherlands

1:1

Oct 11, 2011 Euro

Sweden vs Netherlands

3:2

Oct 12, 2010 Euro

Netherlands vs Sweden

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Brobbey B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gakpo C.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Elanga A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands 84 / 100

Sweden 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Netherlands Sweden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Sweden let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Netherlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands VS Sweden

2.13 Goals Scored 2

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

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Sweden

(Away)

30 Jun

France

3 : 0

Sweden

25 Jun

Japan

1 : 1

Sweden

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

15 Jun

Sweden

5 : 1

Tunisia

04 Jun

Sweden

2 : 2

Greece

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