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Nevezis Kedainiai vs Kareda Kaunas

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 1999
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nevezis Kedainiai play Kareda Kaunas in the A Lyga 1999. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nevezis Kedainiai averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Kareda Kaunas averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Nevezis Kedainiai won 1, Kareda Kaunas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 9, 2000 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Nevezis Kedainiai and 1.00 for Kareda Kaunas. This points to a Kareda Kaunas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Nevezis Kedainiai
32%
Draws
43%
Kareda Kaunas
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Kareda Kaunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Nevezis Kedainiai picked up more points recently compared to Kareda Kaunas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 23%
Kareda Kaunas Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nevezis Kedainiai Kareda Kaunas
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 1.15 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2000 TOPLYGA
Kareda Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:3
Sep 5, 2000 TOPLYGA
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Kareda Kaunas
0:0
May 16, 2000 TOPLYGA
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Kareda Kaunas
0:0
Mar 25, 2000 TOPLYGA
Kareda Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:1
Nov 5, 1999 TOPLYGA
Kareda Kaunas vs Nevezis Kedainiai
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevezis Kedainiai 27 / 100
Kareda Kaunas 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nevezis Kedainiai Kareda Kaunas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kareda Kaunas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nevezis Kedainiai attacking → ← attacking Kareda Kaunas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nevezis Kedainiai scored in 57% of their last 40 games.

Kareda Kaunas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nevezis Kedainiai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kareda Kaunas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 49
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FBK Kaunas18125136:1041
2Zalgiris18106233:936
3Atlantas1896334:2433
4Kareda Kaunas1893631:1830
5Ekranas1878322:1129
6FK Inkaras Kaunas1885525:1829
7Nevezis Kedainiai1837810:2216
8Banga18261015:4012
9Polonija Vilnius18251110:2911
10Dainava Alytus1813149:446