Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2023 Kedainiai Stadium

Marijampole City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nevezis Kedainiai host Marijampole City in the I Lyga 2023. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nevezis Kedainiai have averaged 0.75 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Marijampole City's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Nevezis Kedainiai slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2023, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.00, favoring Marijampole City. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Nevezis Kedainiai

Draws

Marijampole City

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nevezis Kedainiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Marijampole City carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Nevezis Kedainiai a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 20%

Marijampole City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nevezis Kedainiai	Marijampole City
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	10
Draws	4	2
Losses	20	18
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2023 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Marijampole City

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

May 19, 2023 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 21, 2022 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jun 17, 2022 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Marijampole City

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Sep 17, 2016 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevezis Kedainiai 85 / 100

Marijampole City 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nevezis Kedainiai Marijampole City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marijampole City lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Marijampole City let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nevezis Kedainiai VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1 Goals Conceded 0

25% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Transinvest	30	22	4	4	83:29	70
2	BE1 NFA	30	17	5	8	51:30	56
3	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	14	9	7	47:32	51
4	Neptunas	30	14	9	7	57:33	51
5	FK Babrungas	30	15	6	9	60:49	51
6	FK Minija	30	15	6	9	45:37	51
7	Riteriai 2	30	13	7	10	49:33	46
8	Garliava	30	9	13	8	43:37	40
9	Ekranas	30	11	6	13	42:49	39
10	BFA Vilnius	30	10	8	12	40:41	38
11	Marijampole City	30	11	2	17	27:64	35
12	Siauliai 2	30	9	6	15	47:66	33
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	30	8	8	14	40:49	32
14	FK Panevezys 2	30	8	7	15	45:59	31
15	Zalgiris 2	30	7	7	16	46:66	28
16	Jonava	30	4	3	23	28:76	15