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Nevsehir vs Sultanbeyli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Eraydin M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 game between Nevsehir and Sultanbeyli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nevsehir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nevsehir
30%
Draws
47%
Sultanbeyli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sultanbeyli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sultanbeyli come out ahead of Nevsehir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sultanbeyli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Nevsehir Clean Sheet 20%
Sultanbeyli Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nevsehir Sultanbeyli
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Sultanbeyli vs Nevsehir
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Nevsehir vs Sultanbeyli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nevsehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Eraydin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sultanbeyli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nevsehir 10 / 100
Sultanbeyli 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nevsehir Sultanbeyli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sultanbeyli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sultanbeyli conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Nevsehir scored in 33% of their last 36 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Nevsehir went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nevsehir VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nevsehir

(Home)
26 Apr
Nevsehir
3 : 0
Adiyaman FK
20 Apr
Mazidagi
9 : 0
Nevsehir
13 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
6 : 0
Nevsehir
06 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Balikesirspor
02 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Silivrispor
Page 1 of 8

Sultanbeyli

(Away)
27 Apr
Alanya 1221
1 : 1
Sultanbeyli
21 Apr
Sultanbeyli
0 : 1
Musspor
14 Apr
23 Elazig FK
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
07 Apr
Sultanbeyli
1 : 0
Nevsehir
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)