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New Caledonia U17 W vs Tonga U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 Women 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Caledonia U17 W in this OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Caledonia U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
New Caledonia U17 W
15%
Draws
28%
Tonga U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • New Caledonia U17 W have won more games recently than Tonga U17 W.
  • Model gives New Caledonia U17 W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
New Caledonia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Tonga U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U17 W Tonga U17 W
Matches Played 8 6
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.75 0.67
Goals Conceded 4.25 7.67
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2016 OFC Championship U16 Women
New Caledonia U17 W vs Tonga U17 W
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U17 W 83 / 100
Tonga U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U17 W Tonga U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tonga U17 W conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

New Caledonia U17 W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Away concern: Tonga U17 W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U17 W VS Tonga U17 W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.67
4.25 Goals Conceded 7.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia U17 W

(Home)
24 Jan
Fiji U17 W
3 : 2
New Caledonia U17 W
22 Jan
Papua New Guinea U17 W
2 : 1
New Caledonia U17 W
19 Jan
Samoa U17 W
0 : 5
New Caledonia U17 W
16 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
0 : 12
New Zealand U17 W
14 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
5 : 0
Tonga U17 W
Page 1 of 2

Tonga U17 W

(Away)
19 Jan
Tonga U17 W
0 : 13
New Zealand U17 W
16 Jan
Samoa U17 W
1 : 4
Tonga U17 W
14 Jan
New Caledonia U17 W
5 : 0
Tonga U17 W
16 Apr
Tonga U17 W
0 : 18
New Zealand U17 W
14 Apr
Tonga U17 W
0 : 5
Solomon Islands U17 W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 W 3 3 0 0 36:0 9
2 New Caledonia U17 W 3 2 0 1 10:12 6
3 Tonga U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:19 3
4 Samoa U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea U17 W 3 2 1 0 11:4 7
2 Fiji U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Cook Islands U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Vanuatu U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:14 3
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 Women 2016 (Play Offs)