Sport Picks

Stadium Background

New Caledonia U19 vs New Zealand U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Candy L.
64' Event
Supyk L.
66'
Hanye W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with New Zealand U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
New Caledonia U19
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • New Zealand U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U19 New Zealand U19
Matches Played 20 16
Wins 12 16
Draws 1 0
Losses 7 0
Goals Scored 1.75 4.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4
Jul 5, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
3:0
Aug 16, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Candy L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Supyk L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.21
Avg xA / game 2.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U19 10 / 100
New Zealand U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U19 New Zealand U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

New Caledonia U19 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

New Caledonia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

New Zealand U19 has conceded goals in 13% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U19 VS New Zealand U19
1.75 Goals Scored 4.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia U19

(Home)
18 Jul
New Caledonia U19
0 : 4
New Zealand U19
14 Jul
Solomon Islands U19
2 : 3
New Caledonia U19
12 Jul
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1
Samoa U19
08 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
1 : 2
New Caledonia U19
05 Jul
New Zealand U19
3 : 0
New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 4

New Zealand U19

(Away)
18 Jul
New Caledonia U19
0 : 4
New Zealand U19
15 Jul
New Zealand U19
1 : 0
Fiji U19
11 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 10
New Zealand U19
09 Jul
New Zealand U19
5 : 0
Samoa U19
05 Jul
New Zealand U19
3 : 0
New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Solomon Islands U192
New Caledonia U193
New Zealand U191
Fiji U190
Final
New Caledonia U190
New Zealand U194
Solomon Islands U194
Fiji U192