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New Caledonia U19 vs Vanuatu U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Richard T.
23' Event
Bako P. L.
50' Event
Rawor N.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2018 game between New Caledonia U19 and Vanuatu U19 finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
New Caledonia U19
20%
Draws
29%
Vanuatu U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: New Caledonia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu U19 haven't matched New Caledonia U19's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on New Caledonia U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Caledonia U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Caledonia U19 Vanuatu U19
Matches Played 23 21
Wins 14 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.7 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Vanuatu U19
3:0
Aug 10, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Vanuatu U19
8:1
May 23, 2014 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bako P. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vanuatu U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Caledonia U19 83 / 100
Vanuatu U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Caledonia U19 Vanuatu U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Caledonia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

New Caledonia U19 scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Defensive concern: Vanuatu U19 conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

Solid form: New Caledonia U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

New Caledonia U19 VS Vanuatu U19
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

New Caledonia U19

(Home)
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
18 Jul
New Caledonia U19
0 : 4
New Zealand U19
14 Jul
Solomon Islands U19
2 : 3
New Caledonia U19
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Vanuatu U19

(Away)
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
15 Jul
Vanuatu U19
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U19
10 Jul
Vanuatu U19
1 : 6
Fiji U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 20:1 9
2 Tahiti U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Tonga U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 1 1 1 11:5 4
3 Fiji U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)